Hello all,
As many of you probably know, it has been a helluva week with some banger successful calls, and I think I’ve earned the right to take juuust a few victory laps on some of the trade recommendations. Here we go:
Victory laps:
August 5th: Short TZUP. 20% Profit
Thesis was: Celebrity investor filing to sell shares + trading at MASSSIVVEE premium to crypto holdings + did just 150 dollars in revenue in recent quarter
August 6th: Long GROW, Short JETS: 9.02% profit (hedging ratios explained in article taken into account)
Small cap company with huge net cash position buying back shares and having a fast growing ETF
August 6th: Long MKTW: 2% profit
Thesis was: Co. with nice growth prospects (not too good but better than street’s anticipations) with net cash position buying back shares
August 7th: Long GRVY: 10% profit
Thesis was: Topline growth in company + entrance of activist can unlock shareholder value
How I am playing the same trades listed above going forward (small tweaks in position sizing, hedging ratios, etc)
Well, so far, the trades have worked beautifully. However, there have been some commentary I have been meaning to give out regarding the trades I’ve shared with the paid subscribers.
Above is the graph of MKTW. We have hit a short term resistance, so I would suggest taking some risk off, and adding more at the support level which has held far better than I expected, at about 18.2$ ish
GROW recently had a breakout after our report but is heading a little lower to test the resistance it broke out of, and I think that would be a good place to add some more, which is at about 2.45$ ish
As for the JETS short that I recommended as a hedge to GROW (beta hedged with a slight overshoot, where I recommended for every 10,000$ long you are of GROW, go short 1500$), I think it might be time to boost the JETS shorts by just a little bit. For instance:
We are approaching (or have already approached) a resistance and I think some short term underperformance in JETS can be captured quite nicely by boosting our short hedges in the name
GRVY is doing great so far and I expect it to do great in the future. However it is a little bit of a sleepy name so don’t be surprised if there is some short term volatility. I think it’ll come back down to 65$ at some point to retest the resistance levels, where I’ll be gobbling up shares like a hungry pig.
Coming soon
A rebuttal to Financial Time’s piece about AI making investment managers obsolete in future, by studying past pod behaviour and risk mitigating tactics and coupling with how position crowding in AI based Portfolio managers may create short term opportunities
How to short meme stocks while insulating your portfolio to complete implosion. Is there a risk management based edge ?
A compelling long trade
A compelling short trade
Enjoying your Substack. Any thoughts on recent KSEZ news such as the Skilliks platform, the licensing agreement with Sagtec, and the H1'25 financials? Some excerpts from the Q2'25:
"During the three months ended June 30, 2025, we did not generate any revenue because we were transitioning to offer a new type of AI consulting service to address the rapidly change AI marketplace…. As of June 30, 2025, the Company had no cash on hand."
The Sagtec announcement from 2 days ago includes a $2M licensing fee.
Will be interesting to watch going forward as they attempt to monetize the Skilliks platform.